2027 NBA draft lottery simulator
2027 NBA draft lottery simulator with the new 3-2-1 odds, traded picks and protections. If the season ended today, the Bucks (1-11), Jazz (1-11), Kings (1-10) would be draft relegated to 5.4% at #1, while the Bulls (1-9), Clippers (2-8), Nets (3-8) lead a group at 8.1%. Sim all 16 lottery picks and see who owns each one.
Draws all 16 lottery picks with the new 3-2-1 odds and today's standings, then hands each pick to the team that owns it
Pick 1?
Pick 2?
Pick 3?
Pick 4?
If the season ended today
Chance (%) of landing each pick. 37 balls: 3 for teams outside the play-in, 2 for the three worst records and the 9-10 seeds, 1 for the 7-v-8 losers (8 seeds for now).| Slot | Pick | Owner | Record | Balls | #1 | #2 | #3 | #4 | #5 | #6 | #7 | #8 | #9 | #10 | #11 | #12 | #13 | #14 | #15 | #16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MILBucks | ATL52%NOP48% | 1-11 | ●● R | 6.2 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 6.1 | 8.5 | 15.1 | 23.0 | ||||
| 2 | UTAJazz | MEM | 1-11 | ●● R | 8.3 | 8.5 | 8.6 | 8.8 | 11.4 | 20.0 | 34.5 | |||||||||
| 3 | SACKings | Own | 1-10 | ●● R | 6.3 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 8.5 | 14.9 | 22.6 | ||||
| 4 | CHIBulls | Own | 1-9 | ●●● | 9.3 | 8.4 | 8.4 | 8.0 | 7.9 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 6.9 | 6.0 | 4.8 | 2.5 |
| 5 | LACClippers | OKC | 2-8 | ●●● | 9.5 | 8.3 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 6.7 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 4.6 | 2.5 |
| 6 | BKNNets | HOU | 3-8 | ●●● | 9.5 | 8.5 | 8.1 | 7.9 | 7.7 | 7.0 | 6.7 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 7.0 | 6.3 | 4.7 | 2.5 |
| 7 | INDPacers | Own | 4-8 | ●●● | 9.2 | 8.6 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 7.0 | 6.8 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 7.1 | 6.2 | 4.6 | 2.5 |
| 8 | WASWizards | Own | 4-8 | ●●● | 9.1 | 9.1 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.1 | 6.1 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 7.4 | 6.7 | 5.1 | 2.9 | |
| 9 | NOPPelicans | NOP58%ATL42% | 4-8 | ●●● | 9.4 | 8.4 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 7.7 | 7.1 | 6.8 | 6.7 | 6.5 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 4.6 | 2.5 |
| 10 | CHAHornets | Own | 4-7 | ●● | 6.3 | 5.6 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 6.4 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 8.7 | 9.2 | 9.3 | 7.2 |
| 11 | ORLMagic | Own | 4-7 | ●● | 6.3 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 8.6 | 8.9 | 9.3 | 7.4 |
| 12 | PHXSuns | HOU | 4-6 | ●●● | 9.3 | 8.5 | 8.3 | 7.9 | 7.8 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 5.5 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 7.2 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 2.6 |
| 13 | MIAHeat | MIA59%CHA41% | 5-6 | ● | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 8.0 | 10.1 | 14.6 | 26.4 |
| 14 | DENNuggets | OKC70%DEN30% | 6-4 | ●● | 6.2 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 8.5 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 7.4 |
| 15 | DALMavericks | CHA94%DAL6% | 7-4 | ● | 3.1 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 8.0 | 10.1 | 15.0 | 26.4 |
| 16 | MEMGrizzlies | Own | 7-4 | ●● | 6.4 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 6.3 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 8.6 | 9.1 | 9.5 | 7.3 |
Who lands the #1 pick
By pick owner, simulating the rest of the season and the lotteryNOPPelicans17%Top 4: 61% · via MIL
HOURockets15%Top 4: 56% · via BKN, PHX
OKCThunder9%Top 4: 31% · via DEN, LAC, SAS
SACKings7%Top 4: 29%
INDPacers7%Top 4: 27%
MEMGrizzlies7%Top 4: 26% · via UTA, LAL
Traded picks & protections
- Hawks pick → Spurs, unprotected
- Knicks pick → Nets, unprotected
- Suns pick → Rockets, unprotected
- Rockets can swap its pick for Nets's
- Mavericks pick → Hornets, top-2 protected
- Lakers pick → Grizzlies, top-4 protected
- Heat pick → Hornets, top-14 protected
- Nuggets pick → Thunder, top-5 protected
- Cavaliers, Timberwolves, Jazz picks: best → Grizzlies, 2nd → Jazz, worst → Suns
- Pelicans / Bucks picks: better → Pelicans, other → Hawks (top-4 protected; if it lands there, Pelicans keeps both)
- Spurs pick → Kings if 1-16, Thunder if 17-30
- Thunder can swap the worse of its Thunder/Nuggets picks for Clippers's
- Clippers can then swap whichever first it holds for Raptors's
- Wizards pick can't land #1: no team can pick #1 in back-to-back drafts
- Jazz pick can't land top 5: no top-5 pick three years in a row
Pick ownership as of Nov 12, 2026. Swaps go to whichever team holds the right, automatically taking the better pick.